Trump Takes Electoral Lead

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electoral-map

The newest poll from the UPI shows that if the election was held right now, Hillary Clinton would possibly get a larger number of total votes, but still lose to challenger Donald Trump in the electoral college. This is great news for the Trump camp, because he has been trailing by more than ten points less than a month ago. Tonight he has the opportunity to continue his upward momentum and start pulling away from Clinton like he did all of his political opponents during the Republican primary last summer. If Clinton wanted to see a headline tonight the last thing she needed was “Trump takes electoral lead.”

The shift in momentum has been so significant that mathematical genius Nate Silver has come up with some of his most startling statistics yet. On his site, FiveThirtyEight.com, his numbers show that the presidency is down to just a once percent difference.

fivethirtyeight

From the UPI poll:

Trump would amass 292 votes and Clinton would get 246 with 270 needed to secure the oval office.But the candidates’ leads are narrow enough — 5 percent or less — in 12 states to classify them as swing states, meaning 156 electoral votes could be up for grabs. If the battleground states are not counted, the race would be tied 191-191.

According to the UPI, each candidate leads in six of the 12 battleground states:

Trump leads in Florida (1.8 percent), Iowa (2 percent), North Carolina (2.5 percent), Ohio (1 percent), Pennsylvania (1.3 percent) and Virginia (3.4 percent).

Clinton is ahead in Colorado (3.5 percent), Michigan (4.4 percent), Minnesota (4.0 percent), Nevada (0.5 percent), New Hampshire (0.9 percent) and Wisconsin (3.4 percent).

 

Categories: Poll,Uncategorized

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