Onward to Wisconsin!
March came in like a lion with 27 states having primary elections and caucuses, but leaves like a lamb, with no more contests in the next two weeks. April, by comparison will be very mild, with just a few states voting. On April 5, Wisconsin votes, putting its 42 delegates up in a winner-take-all vote. Then New York state votes, and its massive 95 go in a winner-take-most format on April 19th. Finally, on April 26th, a five-state block of states vote in the northeast. Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island will have their primaries, and when that’s all over, there will only be 10 states left to cast votes before primary election season ends on June 7.
What that means is that Donald Trump is in the lead, and needs to just win 51% of the remaining delegates to clinch the Republican nomination for President, but Ted Cruz needs to somehow win a crazy 90% to do the same. John Kasich found a shiny penny yesterday, so he’s happy waiting until the convention, still holding out a Jeb-esque hope that somehow the GOP will hand him the nomination in a contested convention.
A look at the map shows the challenge Cruz is likely to face in April. With the exception of Maine and Ohio, every state east of the Mississippi has gone Trump’s way, and Ohio only went for Kasich because he’s the governor there and very popular among his voters. To even have a chance to move forward, Cruz needs to win in Wisconsin and New York, and the last time anyone checked, New York is going to vote for Trump harder than Utah did for Cruz.